Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend greatest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Verify again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that will help you money a couple of bets and make some cash.
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Six Newbie Betting Instruments
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The autumn season at Aqueduct is loaded with good racing and wagering and this weekend will probably be no exception. Saturday’s nine-race program at Aqueduct will probably be headlined by a pair of New York-bred stakes races going seven furlongs on the principle monitor, the New York Stallion Sequence Staten Island Sequence Staten Island Division for fillies and mares and the Thunder Rumble Division for colts and geldings. For this weekend’s winners, let’s use a wide range of logical contenders however miss the favorites. If we will choose the winners and beat the chalk, we might have an enormous day on the Large A this Saturday. Better of luck.
Saturday, Nov. 23
Aqueduct, Race 7, $125,000 New York Stallion Sequence Staten Island Division, put up time 3:08 p.m. ET
The New York Stallion Sequence Staten Island division has drawn a area of seven New York-bred fillies and mares able to battle it out at seven furlongs. The morning-line favourite within the race is #7 Athena Seaside, and whereas she has an opportunity to win, she couldn’t maintain on going shorter at 6 ½ furlongs final trip and there seem like different choices on this area that supply higher worth. #4 Brown Suga Babe has been in great kind since September with three wins by open lengths in her final 4 races together with two wins right here at Aqueduct going one mile. She exits a 2 ¾-length win right here final time, and he or she’s the one to beat if seven furlongs is sufficient actual property for her to work with. I see no purpose why not. #2 Sunday Woman and #3 Khali Magic have velocity and can each be giving Athena Seaside matches up on or near the lead in a tempo situation that advantages Brown Suga Babe. Both Sunday Woman or Khali Magic ought to be capable to maintain on nicely sufficient for a spot within the exacta.
The Play: Guess on #4 Brown Suga Babe (4-1) to win and play her in exacta bins with #2 Sunday Woman (9-2) and #3 Khali Magic (7-2).
Aqueduct, Race 8, $125,000 New York Stallion Sequence Thunder Rumble Division, put up time 3:38 p.m. ET
The New York Stallion Sequence Thunder Rumble Division brings collectively a area of eight New York breds set to go seven furlongs for a handbag of $125,000. Let’s go all-in and all-out on this spot to attempt to beat weak morning-line favourite #6 Antonio of Venice, who will probably be closely wager based mostly on his kind from seven months in the past. No thanks. He’s getting back from the sidelines at a brief value for a barn that has gained with solely certainly one of its final 23 runners getting back from greater than a six-month layoff. As an alternative, let’s focus our bets on a more likely winner, #3 Doc Sullivan, who has been one of many two greatest New York-bred 3-year-olds of this yr after his win within the $121,000 Mike Lee Stakes and second-place finishes within the $159,000 New York Derby and $242,000 Albany Stakes, which had been two-turn routes. The Mike Lee win was at seven furlongs and he ought to profit from returning to the space on this race. For the exactas and trifectas, let’s miss Antonio of Venice and go for higher costs. #8 Common Banker was not embarrassed final time when mid-pack within the $250,000 Empire Basic at a distance that was too far for him, however his current Beyer Velocity Figures have been persistently excessive, and he matches on this spot based mostly on his allowance win on this monitor in opposition to open firm two races in the past. #5 Gentle Man can be a terrific choose on this spot. Whereas Doc Sullivan has been focusing totally on longer races, Gentle Man has been probably the greatest NY-bred sprinters this yr and exits a win within the $150,000 Hudson Stakes at 6 ½ furlongs on New York Showcase Day. He will be formally thought-about an Aqueduct horse for the course with 4 wins and a second in his 5 profession outings at this monitor thus far.
The Play: Guess #3 Doc Sullivan (5-2) to win and play him in exacta and trifecta bins with #5 Would possibly Man (9-2) and #8 Common Banker (7-2).
