Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
13:15 Punchestown – Desertmore Home
13:25 Uttoxeter – Toss Of A Coin
14:25 Punchestown – Journey With Me
14:50 Exeter – Ioupy Collonges
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
A Pertemps qualifier to start out and as all the time the query is do you act as a shrewdie and hit the primary 4 to try to hopefully safe a spot within the March ultimate? Or do you try to land the primary prize for a pleasant success in its personal proper? I suppose if it’s worthwhile to go up the weights to look within the March run off, there’s no debating whether or not to win or not. There are just a few runners right here in between these two cauldrons of kind/health and scores.
That apart! A Tipp For Gold undoubtedly wants a hike within the weights, however he’s solely going to enhance on what he’s proven to this point. His third of eight behind World of Fortunes confirmed this further yardage holds no fears for him and he might take the requisite subsequent step to hassle his extra skilled rivals. Fairyhouse winner Whatsavailable and the effectively handicapped Francisan Rock additionally come into the equation, however rated some 16lbs decrease over the smaller obstacles, DESERTMORE HOUSE is definitely the worth name with the bottom set to be extra testing.
The final time he ran over timber was in an attention grabbing, staying on third of 14 behind Noble Delivery (who lately ran effectively at Cheltenham), off a mark of 125. Pulled up within the Kerry Nationwide, this stuffy particular person left that kind behind final outing, in third to French Dynamite within the BetVictor Chase, and that second run ought to have introduced him properly to a peak.
There are many inquiries to be answered on this six runner area for this novices handicap chase over 3m. Does Hillcrest retain all of his potential after practically three years off the observe as he’s made to leap a fence? He was a 148 rated hurdler after a giant setback when pulled up within the Albert Bartlett of 2022, however a fast look within the parade ring at this beautiful bodily specimen might present extra.
Olly Murphy’s Roccovango is definitely going the precise approach, following victories at Hexham and Worcester, and a second behind Guard Your Desires at Warwick final month. However he shapes as if two and a half miles is extra his journey and I’d quite aspect with the Paul Nicholls’ TOSS OF A COIN regardless that lots of his runners to this point this season have wanted their first outing.
Winner of a point-to-point and two of his three begins over hurdles (went too fast on the third of them at Wincanton behind Issam) he’s made for this sport each in physique and breeding and I believe Nicholls has discovered him a stunning place to begin – with younger Freddie Gingell taking 3lbs off – he seems to be properly handled off 125 if he takes to the bigger obstacles on the first time of asking.
That is arguably the most effective energy in depth renewal of the John Durkan because it was first run in 1968 over 2m (first run beneath its present guise in 1998) and there’s no larger speaking level than spherical seven of Fastorslow vs. Galopin Des Champs. Of the pair there may be little doubt that this journey, simply in need of two and a half mile, fits the previous higher, however there are some critically good horses on this area of 9 which can be rather more aligned to the gap.
A type of is JOURNEY WITH ME who stays a piece in progress at this self-discipline regardless of being an eight-year-old. His third win over fences within the Grade Two Fairyhouse Chase – when he crushed Respect It by eight lengths – was a cracking efficiency and you may massively improve his subsequent weakening seventh of 9 within the Punchestown Gold Cup. In the event you take a look at the replay of that prolonged three mile Grade One, nothing was travelling as effectively on the son of Mahler turning for residence, as he ranged as much as the leaders. Nonetheless, as soon as push got here to shove beneath Darragh O’Keefe there was little left beneath the bonnet.
That is virtually definitely his optimum journey and with extra rain forecast, he’ll get the dig underfoot he wants to point out his finest kind, and if prepared health smart I can see him readily outrunning enormous odds.
The darkish horse is in fact the Brown Advisory hero Truth or File and he stays a teenager firmly within the ‘may very well be something’ class. However he was crushed on his chase debut first outing final season, and I’m clinging to that truth right here, for what it’s value! I’m certain we’re but to see the most effective of Grangeclare West (probably wants additional), whereas Blue Lord ran effectively on this race final yr to a degree and the progressive Spillane’s Tower is three from three right here over fences.
This seems to be an absolute crackerjack of a category three handicap chase on the West Nation observe and my eyes had been first drawn to Broomfield Current who I all the time thought would make into a sensible staying handicap chaser after I noticed him win an prolonged three mile handicap hurdle at Haydock Park beneath 12 stone off a mark of 122. He ran effectively right here on his chasing debut, behind Make Me A Believer final November, however was introduced down at Uttoxeter in a horrible incident earlier than blowing out as a brief priced favorite within the Haldon Stayers Crown Handicap in December. Not seen since, he’s clearly had just a few issues, and you’d perceive if considered one of them was a psychological one after that incident. Nonetheless, it’s nonetheless early days for him and he’s suited by the structure right here so any cash for him could be vital.
The Paul Nicholls’ skilled IOUPY COLLONGES received a handicap hurdle right here off 112 in April 2023, however chasing was all the time going to be his sport, and after affected by an irregular heartbeat on his chase debut behind Chianti Classico he opened his account on the third time of asking with a clean April win at Perth. At all times on the sharp finish, he travelled effectively all the best way round, and jumped with ease and effectivity. Propped up a mere 3lbs within the weights I fancy he may very well be a Cheltenham horse in Spring and is an thrilling staying chaser within the making.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
13:15 Punchestown – Desertmore Home
13:25 Uttoxeter – Toss Of A Coin
14:25 Punchestown – Journey With Me
14:50 Exeter – Ioupy Collonges
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
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