Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
14:20 Southwell – Streak Lightning (Every-Method)
16:03 Tramore – Gateau De Miel
16:15 Pontefract – The Cookstown Cafu (Every-Method)
17:15 Pontefract – Tenerife Sunshine
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
A category six handicap of 13 runners, none of which gained final day out and solely three have gained all season, will for a lot of of you hardly be the very best medium to have a guess on, however there may be an upside as such a set-up matches fantastically the ethos of this ‘worth’ column. As there are no less than six or seven each-way performs at double determine costs we might run with.
Tremendous Hit stays comparatively unexposed to his rivals and ran a good race over the course and distance three outings again and can certainly play an element right here if younger Kyle McHugh can settle him somewhat bit higher; there may be definitely nothing incorrect together with his handicap score. Thanks Dad, Petra Celera and the veteran Airshow even have claims of types, however ultimately I made a decision to choose Ruth Carr skilled runner STREAK LIGHTNING.
Simply as irritating as nearly all of his rivals, this seven-year-old has a greater strike price than most (six wins from 26 and positioned on six events) and has proven glimpses this season that the fireplace nonetheless burns shiny. A score 8lbs beneath his final successful mark additionally helps although he’s the kind to want a lot to go his approach by way of a contest.
I used to be fortunate sufficient to go the County Waterford observe a number of years in the past and like many programs elsewhere you solely actually get the topography of it if you see it within the ‘flesh’. For instance Hexham is tough to climb on foot on the rise to the successful submit, which you don’t see on TV, whereas comparable remarks apply to the curler coaster experience of Hamilton Park and even Brighton which is acutely towards the grain from simply over two furlongs out.
Tramore is massively downhill from the tip of the again straight and although the run house is brief, it’s stiff and a number of other races this week on the observe have modified massively inside the ultimate two furlongs. So, a course winner is a bonus right here and Pure Breeze and Smitty Bacall fill that class however not over this journey. A mark of 99 nonetheless offers the in type Tullyveery Lad an opportunity, with the competent Paddy Hanlon on board, and he might simply be value a saver whereas True Religion would have a declare primarily based on his freshmen chase win, however that was a while in the past which leads me within the path of what appears like Henry de Bromhead’s second string GATEAU DE MIEL behind Garde La Peche.
A winner of a freshmen chase at Fairyhouse on the again finish of 2022, he’s since been positioned off 118 and was subsequently given some powerful duties behind the likes of Dersertmore Home and Mars Harper. A full 8lbs decrease than for these two runs, that is his best job up to now, and any help out there can be very attention-grabbing.
The irritating Zozimus lastly bought again on the successful path (second win in his forty second try) when ridden a lot nearer to the tempo final day out over course and distance and successful comfortably. Already properly weighted for that run a 4lbs penalty is neither right here nor there on this race and if he’s in the identical type then clearly an enormous run may be anticipated with the state of affairs of giving weight to lesser horses extra his area.
However, certainly the share name is to go towards the highest weight and play with one of many different two course and distance winners. Kevin Ryan’s cost THE COOKSTOWN CAFU has not troubled the decide since successful right here in Might ‘23 in a category 4 off a score of 79, and certainly took 9 additional runs earlier than he was even positioned once more off 74 at Carlisle two begins again.
His newest run at York was no less than on a par together with his Cumbrian enterprise, as he ran Craven to a few lengths in a contest with a deal extra power in depth. Set to run off 73 right here, in his first run in a category 5 occasion for 2 years and appears the each-way various to the highest weight and Naval Academy.
The Grand Visir has seemed prepared for retirement for the previous 18 months having seemed sluggish and never in love with the sport of late, albeit he’s been additionally set some stiff duties. Then out of the blue the veteran confirmed much more sparkle final day out, staying on properly behind the equally properly handicapped Ranch Hand, within the Shergar Cup final week. I do know connections would dearly like to exit with a victory with him and solely a pound larger right here than eight days in the past makes him an apparent participant.
Though there aren’t any entrance runners on this area of seven, six of the entries prefer to race prominently and/or pull arduous, so I think there gained’t be a scarcity of tempo and that would swimsuit the Charlie Johnston cost TENERIFE SUNSHINE who can settle in these races. He nonetheless seemed to be going properly on the three furlong pole within the two and a half mile Goodwood Stakes earlier than receiving a hefty bump which ended his possibilities. Solely a pound above his final successful mark and with floor and a shorter journey in his favour he will get the nod over the previous boy and the brand new child on the block, Godsend. The final named is a typical Sir Mark Prescott bloomer, he’s gained 4 of his final 5 begins starting from a gap mark of 58 to his present score of 79. This appears his hardest job up to now towards some hardy previous sprinters, and though he’s the almost certainly winner, his worth will replicate that.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
14:20 Southwell – Streak Lightning (Every-Method)
16:03 Tramore – Gateau De Miel
16:15 Pontefract – The Cookstown Cafu (Every-Method)
17:15 Pontefract – Tenerife Sunshine
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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