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Saturday, December 7, 2024

Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 11/8/24


12:16
Eric A Longenhagen: Howdy from sunny Tempe, Arizona the place final weekend I went individuals watching up by the school to see some Halloween craziness, and as a substitute the woman sitting subsequent to me on the bar had a seizure or a stroke or one thing and I bought to play paramedic in entrance of like 24 individuals. Typically issues don’t go the way in which you propose.
12:16
AN1: How are you feeling on Creed Willems? He has smoked some balls out west. Doesn’t Okay a ton both and is 21 for the primary half of 2025. Something there?
12:18
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ll take the beneath. He has energy however chases a ton for a 1B and I’m unsure how lengthy he’s going to be athletically viable. Some model-driven workforce would most likely take him in a deal, although.
12:18
Dk: Would you commerce Tong, Williams and Gilbert for Crochet? Would it not be sufficient?
12:20
Eric A Longenhagen: I’d be making an attempt to do higher than that (I’d somewhat have Sproat than both Tong or Gilbert by form of quite a bit, and I’d must pry away at the least one among Baty or Ronny Mo) however I admire you together with Jett, who I believe is gonna be good.
12:20
Scott M.: What do you make of Josue Briceno and Thayron Liranzo’s AFL performances thus far? And what’s the probability both will stick at catcher?
12:21
Eric A Longenhagen: Each good, Liranzo manner higher shot to stay again there as a result of he positively has the arm and construct.
12:21
Ralph: If most of NYY assets go to Soto, do you suppose Ben Rice and/or Caleb Durbin can deal with important PA for them subsequent yr?
12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Durbin as a scrappy utility piece and suppose Rice is a fringe 40-man sort, so that may not be ideally suited.
12:22
Matt: What place does Christian Moore find yourself at? Heard some rumblings that he was taking part in some 3B and outfield in instructs? Undecided if these had been true.
12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: All my Instructs appears had been with him at 2B
12:22
Tacoby Bellsbury: What do you discover most enjoyable in baseball, and the way has that modified throughout your profession?
12:23
Eric A Longenhagen: Discovering new gamers. I used to be watching Angels DSL stuff towards the Giants final week and a few of SF’s guys had been actually thrilling. To get completely blindsided like that basically lights me up.
12:25
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe your workforce’s video games are all gonna be over in like 2:15 with that assortment of chasers you bought there. I do not know how you probably did with out taking a look at everybody else’s roster however at first look it’s simply an okay group.
12:25
Alek: Even with the first rate AFL stats i assume you’re nonetheless out on Robert Hassell as an everyday?
12:26
Eric A Longenhagen: Appropriate. Assume his palms work effectively sufficient for him to be an element time, decrease impression man. He simply hasn’t gotten a lot stronger.
12:26
Jim: Do you suppose the Braves must make adjustments to their worldwide scouting division? They aren’t hitting on their latest latin gamers and it’s actually effecting their system depth.
12:28
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s extra about their strategy than anything. Once you put all of your eggs in a single or two Diego Benitez or Jose Perdomo sort baskets after which that participant instantly struggles, you mainly punted a complete class.
12:29
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s time for them to unfold it out once more. However they’ve bought $3 and $4 mil commits at the least two of the subsequent couple years
12:30
171: Is Cam Weston a factor? He had a fairly good yr however the velo appears lower than fascinating
12:30
Eric A Longenhagen: It is a low slot Orioles lefty who carved Double-A this yr…
12:31
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe he’s a factor in a real-world baseball sense. He’s a misleading low slot man who instructions a great slider. Is he a mid-rotation starter on a playoff workforce? No, however I believe he could possibly be a great swingman/lengthy reliever and debut in 2025.
12:31
Eric: When do the workforce lists begin do you propose to alter the order of the way you launch them?
12:32
Eric A Longenhagen: Subsequent week. International execs, Angels, A’s to start out. Cubs/Giants/Rockies/D’Backs (not essentially in that order) after that.
12:32
Eric A Longenhagen: Then I’ll most likely shift to groups primarily based in Florida
12:33
Leo Wants a New Pair of Sneakers: Any dope on highschool draftees who’ve but to make their official professional debut however whose work on the complicated adjusts your pre-draft analysis up or down?
12:36
Eric A Longenhagen: The fellows who get like mid six figures who I didn’t know a ton about previous to the draft (my operating listing of these guys: Bo Walker ARI, Eli Lovich CHC, Andrew Tess BAL, Edgar Colon CIN, Jude Warwick DET, Andy Polanco SFG, Troy Guthrie TOR) can positively transfer the needle however generally I believe two years of how they regarded trumps 2 weeks of how they do, good or unhealthy.
12:36
Jimmy: Favourite riser from 2024?
12:36
Eric A Longenhagen: Go get that man
12:37
Chris: Favourite bat prospects that nobody has heard about (exterior prime 100ish), that you simply suppose might explode subsequent season?
12:39
Jonathan: I really like the depth and breadth of your scouting experiences and don’t suppose there’s something comparable that’s public-facing. <3  The publication velocity is frustratingly sluggish but it surely looks like a essential by-product of the experiences’ top quality + the truth that you don’t have a workforce of scouts working with you.  My questions:  in the event you abruptly had the identical entry to tons of video (and possibly biomechanics markers/metrics to assist kind/parse the video) {that a} workforce’s video scout had, (1) to what extent wouldn’t it assist with velocity, and (2) to what extent do you suppose your experiences may undergo?
12:40
Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks. I believe my nature is such that extra information would sluggish me down as it could give me one more factor to contemplate and attempt to talk within the experiences.
12:40
Some kinda Mook: No query, simply need to say that I’m very excited to your prospecting this offseason. Please distract us.
12:42
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve combined/responsible emotions about whether or not I’m really doing the correct factor by immersing myself in sports activities as a manner of coping with the chaos somewhat than making use of myself to one thing substantive, like serving to repair schooling in Arizona. However rattling do I really like watching Lamar Jackson and sure I’ll spend three hours saying “wow” out loud to the cats on a Thursday night time.
12:42
Dougie Jones: On condition that his professional struggles appear to jibe with the specifics of your pre-draft hit software issues, ought to we be faster to spherical down on Charlie Condon than the dimensions of the pattern would in any other case counsel?
12:43
Eric A Longenhagen: I most likely will.
12:43
PB: How a lot do groups really worth the autumn league? Appears like there’s a number of variance and noise related to the outcomes.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: With the stats there’s, however the look can transfer the needle. Handful of potential Rule 5 guys solidify a spot or not right here, you’re trying on the Eriq Swans of the world and contemplating the way in which he’s been modified by an org that’s good at this, and so on. Heaps to see, mainly none of it anybody’s ISO.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Jenkins, not shut.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Hope has actual hit software threat. He’s bought energy and velocity however is gonna Okay a ton.
12:45
Carl: Jesus Made has a number of hype. I attempt to mood my pleasure because it’s simply the DSL. However I actually ought to be excited, proper? Him and Cooper Pratt makes for a promising future for the Brewers shortstop place.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Made appears nice on a spreadsheet however I wanna see him earlier than I’m going nuts
12:45
Massive Fan: Do you suppose Drake Baldwin is the #2 catcher in Atlanta subsequent season?
12:46
Eric A Longenhagen: Beginning to, and I believe he’d deal with it advantageous. Lengthy offseason, although.
12:46
Benjamin: Ballesteros or Liranzo have a greater shot to stay at C?
12:46
Eric A Longenhagen: Liranzo. Each throw effectively and are unhealthy at different issues, Ballesteros is constructed like mini John Goodman and may not have the ability to transfer effectively sufficient again there.
12:47
Leric A Ongenhagen: Leonardo Bernal had an amazing ’24, is performing effectively within the AFL, and is at AA as a 20 yr outdated catcher. Will he make the highest 100?
12:47
Eric A Longenhagen: I’d say beter than 50/50 he does. Lefty-hitting catcher with plus bat velocity. One other man the place his construct is such that IDK what it’ll appears like when he’s 26-28, ya know?
12:49
Visitor: Has anybody popped in your Angels appears this fall?
12:51
Eminor3rd: Have you ever had an opportunity to get appears/opinions on Shunpeita Yamashita (Orix) or Takahisa Hayakawa (Rakuten) in NPB? The regarded like a possible generational man earlier than taking a step backward final yr, and the latter lastly broke out a yr or two after being fairly hyped.
12:51
Eric A Longenhagen: Yamashita is the true deal for me. Struggled and was demoted early, got here again with a vengeance late. Three plus pitches and a QB construct at age 22? Sure please.
12:51
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe he’s pitching “prospect” no. 2 in NPB behind Sasaki
12:52
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Hayakawa however there are a number of guys like him over there, smaller-framed with sneaky 89-91mph heaters, breaking stuff that lives off axis/slot, and a great changeup. Extra generic backend sort. Inoue is my favourite man over there who matches this description, suppose he’s a particular athlete.
12:53
emh1969: How do repeated accidents issue right into a participant’s rating? I’m pondering of Chase DeLauter right here.
12:53
Eric A Longenhagen: I hear ya, particularly when it’s the identical factor again and again prefer it has been with DeLauter’s toes and ankles I believe it has to.
12:53
Prospecter: Do you suppose Lazaro Montes‘ season was a web optimistic or destructive?  Outcomes are there however the whiff issues are actual
12:54
Eric A Longenhagen: Constructive however I’ll nonetheless most likely be the low man on him this offseason. I agree there are points masked by SEA’s hitting environments in A/A+ ball. Similar has been true of a number of guys earlier than him like Clase and Locklear. Crushing in NWL, again to earth after promotion
12:54
probability: Is Andrew Painter displaying sufficient to reclaim his elite prospect standing?
12:55
Eric A Longenhagen: sure, launch was much less constant throughout his final outing tho
12:55
Philip: If Sugano indicators with a MLB workforce, how are you ranking him in a FYPD?  Do you suppose he might have a few top-40 SP years in him?  Thanks!
12:55
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve a forty five on him. 70 command of 40 stuff
12:56
Say Extra: Bought one title that particularly stood out amongst Giants DSL surprises?
12:56
Eric A Longenhagen: smiling_imp
12:57
Yovani Gallardo: Hello Eric, thanks once more for doing this chat! I wished to ask you probably have ideas on this yr’s IFA class (KBO, NPB and so on), particularly on the NPB aspect. Additionally questioning you probably have guys you’re keeping track of in NPB that’s not essentially coming over this offseason (like studying about Shunpeita Yamashita was numerous enjoyable at the least for me!).
12:58
Eric A Longenhagen: Extra on this subsequent week however yeah. I believe Kazuna Okamoto is  scorching title to know for this offseason. Loopy pull/raise spray chart, a la Isaac Paredes. I’m skeptical he can really hit however groups who care about airborne pull are gonna be on him.
12:59
Eric A Longenhagen: Okamoto and the NPB Cubans (Livan Moinelo, Raidel Martinez) play in Premier12 this weekend and ought to be watched…
1:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Taisei Ota is one other title to know, monster aid stuff
1:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Massive bat velocity, 1B solely athlete for me, don’t love how upright his entrance aspect is all through his swing. There are scouts who actually like him, I’ve been apprehensive.
1:01
McGraw45: I really feel like I keep in mind early experiences that Salas and DeVries regarded good within the fall league. Did that maintain?
1:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Salas appears exhausted now, De Vries nonetheless hitting
1:01
Adam: How have Xaiver Isaac and Tre’ Morgan regarded within the outfield?
1:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Morgan has had hassle protecting his footing in my appears. Isaac is extra comfy operating however his routes want work
1:02
Johnny5Alive: Re: crochet. He’s solely completed this as soon as and it’s on his final yr of management, how might he presumably demand that a lot. Transformed relieveer with no educate document and an harm historical past and he wants 3 prime prospects for a deal?
1:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Sounds such as you’d simply be out on Crochet
1:04
Eric A Longenhagen: Assume he might have a peak in his late-20s, loopy velocity and ought to be a great CF over time, may finally discover a technique to make sufficient contact to be an on a regular basis man throughout that peak
1:04
Jack: Colt Emerson hits the ball actually arduous however doesn’t appear to hit it over the fence. Is he a legit future top-5 prospect in all of baseball and can he stick at SS?
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: That’s a bit wealthy for me. I really like how explosive his palms are however that bat path is a bit too much like Gavin Lux for me to be comfy going all in to that diploma.
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: He’s not a SS for me
1:05
Huzzah!: Thanks is all. Love the chats.
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: Gracias, gonna take a number of extra actual quick for 10 min or so
1:05
Jace, the Thoughts Sculptor: Ideas on the prolonged rotation window for Customary? Or do you play a special format?
1:06
Eric A Longenhagen: I are likely to draft. The units come out too quick for me to really feel like I’m maintaining with customary.
1:06
JK: Ideas on Bryce Eldridge? AFL and full season, thanks for all you do!
1:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Seemed drained right here earlier than he went dwelling. I’ll have him towards the again of the highest 100. Nonetheless a 1B with Okay threat, 70 energy although.
1:07
Andre Thee Big: In terms of gamers more likely to graduate to the MLB in 2025 and 2026, would you somewhat have the Rays or Crimson Sox system?
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: Boston
1:07
victoria: Will Ballesteros’ bat play as a primary division starter at 1b?
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, first division is sort of a prime 15 man.
1:07
Darren: Thanks for the chat! Have you ever seen Carter Jensen within the AFL?  How does he look and what place do you suppose he’ll play?
1:09
Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, have seen him a bunch. Assume he’ll catch regardless of a few of his points. Tremendous large, aggressive transfer ahead within the field generates a ton of energy and Okay’s. I like him however suppose it’ll take some time for him to tone that down. Extra of a mid-20s breakout man than somebody racing there to assist brief time period
1:09
Visitor: Who’s your favourite FA this yr that’s exterior the highest 25-or so?
1:10
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Conforto and Carlos Santana so far as guys who didn’t make Ben’s prime 25
1:11
Fishfan: Are you shopping for into Jacob Berry’s second half? I do know in early June you stated he hadn’t actually hit in any respect
1:12
Eric A Longenhagen: Undoubtedly swung and missed much less however there nonetheless isn’t 1B energy
1:12
Leric A Ongenhagen: guide recs for the offseason? baseball and non-baseball
1:12
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s a 50
1:13
Eric A Longenhagen: Naomi Klein’s Doppleganger is subsequent for me
1:13
Eric A Longenhagen: In the event you like fiction, particularly sci fi, I like Octavia Butler
1:14
Andre Thee Big: I don’t perceive Getz saying that the WS are specializing in place participant return in any Crochet commerce. Once you want every part, why not simply take the very best deal?
1:14
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe it’s a great rule of thumb to get again an on a regular basis place participant if you commerce a stud
1:16
Eric A Longenhagen: Okay ya’ll, I’ve gotta make some snacks for a home warming social gathering tonight. It’s best to watch Premier12 and Fall Stars this weekend. I’m excited for prospect lists to start out rolling out and stay up for chatting with you on Semifinal Day subsequent week. I swear I really like you.

 

Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and at present lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent 4 years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Information Options and two contributing to prospect protection at ESPN.com. Earlier work can be discovered at Sports activities On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.

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