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Thursday, October 10, 2024

Making ready for the playoffs, struggling an epic collapse, and gazing to the long run


1. BEST: Playoff champs

The postseason is almost right here, and a number of other well-known names have certified but once more. Hi there there, Yankees and Dodgers. You too, Astros and Phillies.

Sure, a couple of surprising groups made playoff pushes in 2024. Few pundits believed that the Brewers or Guardians would play their manner in. And who anticipated that the Royals and Tigers would make critical runs?

But it may’t be denied that postseason baseball is tormented by a sure familiarity. I’ve devised a easy scoring system to isolate the dominant franchises since 2000, awarding one level for every playoff look, a further three factors for every league pennant, and one other 5 factors for every world championship.

The Boston Pink Sox emerged because the top-rated membership over the 24-year span, with 11 journeys to the playoffs (abbreviated as P within the chart beneath), 4 league titles (L), and 4 World Sequence victories (W) for a grand whole of 43 factors.

Listed below are the highest 10 franchises by way of postseason success from 2000 by 2023:

  • 1. Pink Sox (P 11, L 4, W 4), 43 factors

  • 2. Yankees (P 19, L 4, W 2), 41 factors

  • 3. Cardinals (P 16, L 4, W 2), 38 factors

  • 4. Astros (P 11, L 5, W 2), 36 factors

  • 5. Giants (P 8, L 4, W 3), 35 factors

  • 6. Dodgers (P 15, L 3, W 1), 29 factors

  • 7. Braves (P 15, L 1, W 1), 23 factors

  • 8. Phillies (P 7, L 3, W 1), 21 factors

  • 9. Rangers (P 6, L 3, W 1), 20 factors

  • 10. Diamondbacks (P 6, L 2, W 1), 17 factors


2. WORST: Playoff chumps

Playoff baseball is a rarity in Pittsburgh and Seattle, whose golf equipment have certified for the postseason simply 3 times apiece since 2000.

The Pirates and Mariners did not win a league pennant, not to mention a World Sequence, at any time throughout the research interval, so that they completed with three factors every, the worst rating for any franchise.

The next record of the least profitable ballclubs contains some which have improved their fortunes lately, despite the fact that they struggled over a lot of the 2000-2023 span:

  • 1. Mariners (P 3, L 0, W 0), 3 factors

  • 1. Pirates (P 3, L 0, W 0), 3 factors

  • 3. Orioles (P 4, L 0, W 0), 4 factors

  • 3. Padres (P 4, L 0, W 0), 4 factors

  • 3. Reds (P 4, L 0, W 0), 4 factors

  • 6. Blue Jays (P 5, L 0, W 0), 5 factors

  • 7. Brewers (P 7, L 0, W 0), 7 factors

  • 7. Rockies (P 4, L 1, W 0), 7 factors

  • 9. Twins (P 10, L 0, W 0), 10 factors

  • 10. Athletics (P 11, L 0, W 0), 11 factors

  • 10. Guardians (P 8, L 1, W 0), 11 factors

  • 10. Marlins (P 3, L 1, W 1), 11 factors

  • 10. Mets (P 5, L 2, W 0), 11 factors

  • 10. Tigers (P 5, L 2, W 0), 11 factors


3. GRAPH: An epic collapse

The ultimate week of the common season conjures reminiscences of nice stretch drives of the previous. Collapses, too.

We’re at present marking the sixtieth anniversary of one of many latter situations, undoubtedly one of many worst collapses of all time.

Philadelphia held a 6.5-game lead within the Nationwide League in 1964 with 12 video games to play. That period predated right this moment’s multi-round playoff system, so the Phillies had been already printing World Sequence tickets, and why not?

The Phils beat the Dodgers, 3-2, in Recreation 150 to advance their report to 90-60, giving them the aforementioned 6.5-game lead.

That’s when all the pieces went black. Philadelphia misplaced its subsequent 10 outings, surrendering first place after Recreation 157 and dropping to 2.5 video games behind by No. 160. A pair of season-ending victories got here too late to do any good, and the Phils completed second within the NL, one sport behind the St. Louis Cardinals.

The entire sad decline is plotted on this week’s graph.


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4. QUIZ: Future milestones

Twelve groups will flip their consideration to the playoffs subsequent week, however the different 18 golf equipment can be getting an early begin on winter.

Members of these latter groups can’t do something however sit on the sidelines and daydream about 2025. A number of gamers (each on playoff and eradicated golf equipment) can boost their fantasies by pondering some huge numbers.

This week’s quiz will get a soar on the season forward, asking about batters and pitchers who’re prone to attain important milestones in 2025. You’ll be able to scroll to the underside of this article for the solutions.

1. Who’s most certainly to turn out to be the subsequent batter with 2,000 profession hits?

2. Who’s in line to be the subsequent hitter with 400 house runs?

3. Who’s the closest challenger to a profession whole of 1,000 runs batted in?

4. Which pitcher is the highest candidate for 200 profession wins?

5. Who’s closest to a complete of three,000 strikeouts?


5. LEADERBOARD: Messy saves

Q. When does a save not really feel like a save?

A. When a better permits the opposition to clog the basepaths and rating a run (or much more).

If he in some way will get the ultimate out with out blowing his membership’s lead, a reliever remains to be given credit score for a save in such a circumstance. However that doesn’t appear fairly proper, does it? A more in-depth is meant to close the door, one-two-three.

Pittsburgh’s David Bednar, a two-time All-Star, is aware of this subject. Opponents scored in barely greater than 1 / 4 of Bednar’s saves — six of 23 — by September 20. That sloppiness, together with seven blown saves in different outings, price him the Pirates’ closing position on the finish of August.

Bednar led the majors this yr together with his six “messy saves,” these video games by which he was charged with a number of earned runs, but nonetheless was credited with a save. Right here’s the record of relievers with at the least 4 messy saves as of September 20, as tabulated by Baseball Reference:


6. TRACKING THE BEST: ’84 Tigers

We’ve been following the 1984 Detroit Tigers, the finest workforce of baseball’s Trendy Period (1961 to the current), on a week-to-week foundation since opening day. Let’s make an exception right this moment, leaping forward to cowl the final two weeks of the common season, September 17-30, 1984.

The Tigers clinched the American League East title on September 18 with a 3-0 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers. They proceeded to play out the string, profitable 9 of their ultimate 13 video games. Detroit completed with a report of 104-58, 15 video games forward of the divisional runner-up, the Toronto Blue Jays.

Supervisor Sparky Anderson mentioned he was uninterested in being instructed that the AL East crown got here simply to the Tigers due to their quick begin.

“All I hear is that if the Tigers hadn’t gotten off to a 35-5 begin, they wouldn’t have gained,” he mentioned after the final regular-season sport. “I at all times thought the season lasted 162 video games. Don’t the primary 40 rely?”


7. TRACKING THE WORST: ’62 Mets

The 1962 New York Mets would end their inaugural season with a 40-120 report, stamping them because the losingest workforce since baseball’s two-league construction was created in 1901. They’d maintain that sad distinction for 62 years, till the pathetic 2024 Chicago White Sox got here alongside.

The Mets misplaced three of each 4 video games all through the 1962 season, and so they held to type throughout their stretch drive, going 3-9 between September 17 and 30.

New York’s 72-year-old supervisor, Casey Stengel, was admittedly shell-shocked on the finish. “You gotta be courageous on the plate,” he mentioned after the one hundred and twentieth loss was within the books. “We weren’t courageous sufficient. We didn’t assault the pitcher sufficient.”


8. QUIZ ANSWERS: Future milestones

1-C. (Machado is barely greater than 100 hits away from the two,000 mark. His profession whole was 1,894 as of September 20, the cutoff level for all of those solutions. Arenado was subsequent with 1,817 hits.)

2-D. (Well being is all the pieces, after all. If Trout recovers from his accidents, he’s subsequent up with 378 homers, adopted by Goldschmidt at 361.)

3-A. (Harper had 975 profession RBIs on the cutoff, with Rizzo because the runner-up at 963.)

4-A. (It is a little bit of a trick query, since no one is inside placing distance of 200 wins. Cole is nearest with 151.)

5-B. (Kershaw is extraordinarily shut with 2,968 strikeouts. The one query is whether or not he’ll proceed pitching after this yr.)

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