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Friday, November 22, 2024

Noel’s Weekend Winners: Greatest Bets for Travers, H. Allen Jerkens Stakes



Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend finest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Verify again each week for a few highlighted choices designed that will help you money just a few bets and make some cash.

Noel’s choices have been featured nearly in all places horse racing picks will be discovered, together with in print within the Day by day Racing Kind, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Additional, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.

Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners is dropped at you by Horseplayers.com, the official on-line qualifying website of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Problem (BCBC) and Nationwide Horseplayers Championship (NHC). Horseplayers.com provides low-cost feeders day-after-day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers each weekend, and it’s the one website the place you may qualify for the $1.25 million BCBC. It’s free to enroll – click on right here to get details about registering and the best way to enter contests.


Six Newbie Betting Instruments

  1. Begin easy with an simple information for the best way to guess on horse racing.
  2. Undecided what that phrase means? Horse racing terminology is a language of its personal. Enable us translate for you
  3. What the heck is a pace determine? This newbie’s information to hurry figures has every little thing you must know.
  4. Betting on horse racing will be intimidating. Staff ABR put collectively some Dos and Don’ts for the brand new fan getting began betting on racing.
  5. All of us make errors in terms of betting on horse racing, listed below are eight classes discovered from expertise.
  6. Determine how a lot every guess will value prematurely with our Playing Calculator, introduced by NYRA Bets.

The largest race day of one of the best race meet of the 12 months is lastly right here as Saratoga hosts DraftKings Travers Stakes Day this Saturday. The Travers program is every little thing you’d hope for as a horseplayer and handicapper and racing fan with 14 races on the cardboard together with 5 Grade 1 stakes. For this weekend’s winners, let’s focus our consideration on two of Saratoga’s Grade 1 Saturday stakes – the H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes, and naturally the large one, the 155th working of the DraftKings Travers. These two occasions would be the pinnacle of a star-studded Saturday of racing and wagering at Saratoga. Benefit from the races and better of luck.

Saratoga Race Course, Race 12, $500,000 H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes, publish time 5:30 p.m. ET

The H. Allen Jerkens for 3-year-olds sprinting seven furlongs is at all times one of many premier races of the Saratoga season and this 12 months is definitely no exception. The race has drawn a stellar 11-horse discipline and the factor that makes this race a monumental problem for handicappers is that it options quick horses from everywhere in the nation. It will likely be a face-off between horses each stretching out from six furlongs and horses that will likely be reducing again in distance after competing in longer races. When confronted with this type of alternative on this race, historical past tells us the sprinters or one-turn horses could have the benefit. This isn’t a knock towards horses like #3 Home Product or #6 Timberlake, aside from to say this will likely be a tricky spot for them to win. New York’s different Grade 1 nearly-equivalent spot is the Grade 1 Woody Stephens Stakes Introduced by Mohegan Solar again in June, which this 12 months was run at Saratoga. That race is an effective place to search for the runners that ought to be the horses to beat within the Jerkens Memorial.

The Woody Stephens was gained by the juggernaut within the division to this point, #8 Ebook’em Danno, who additionally has gained stakes at Tampa Bay Downs and Monmouth Park and simply missed by a head when ending second within the one mile $1.5 million Saudi Derby this season. He has proven no weaknesses but towards this caliber of horses and the seven-furlong distance hits him proper between the eyes. The principle menace to Ebook’em Danno on Saturday is prone to come from a horse he’s already crushed that’s searching for revenge, #5 Prince of Monaco, who ships throughout the nation once more for coach Bob Baffert after settling for second by a half-length within the Woody Stephens. Prince of Monaco has tactical pace however principally misplaced all likelihood when fully worn out firstly within the Woody Stephens. He then rallied from too far again to lose regardless of a gallant effort and might undoubtedly flip the tables given a good begin. Lastly, the potential upsetter to be careful for is the lightly-raced #2 Converse Straightforward for coach Todd Pletcher, who’s 2-for-2 in his profession together with a highly-touted January maiden win at Gulfstream Park and a workmanlike victory final time in his return from a layoff in what regarded like a non-fully-revved-up prep race to get him prepared for a giant effort Saturday.

The Play: Wager massive on #5 Prince of Monaco (4-1) to win and play him in three-way exacta and trifecta bins with #2 Converse Straightforward (8-1), and #8 Ebook’em Danno (7-2).

Saratoga Race Course, Race 13, $1,250,000 DraftKings Travers Stakes, publish time 6:10 p.m. ET

The Travers Stakes is the “Mid-Summer season Derby” that has attracted most of the principals within the 3-year-old division amongst its eight-horse discipline. The outcomes of this race will go an extended approach to figuring out a few of the foremost contenders on this fall’s $7 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Traditional. The 2024 Travers can also be notable as a result of it is going to function the standout main 3-year-old filly, #1 Thorpedo Anna, who looms a professional menace. Thorpedo Anna is available in on a four-race graded stakes-winning streak together with three Grade 1 wins, with two of these victories, the DK Horse Acorn Stakes and the Teaching Membership American Oaks, coming at Saratoga. The large query will likely be if she will be able to repeat these sorts of efforts towards colts and if she will be as efficient on the longer Travers distance of 1 ¼ miles, particularly whereas below the tempo stress she is prone to endure from a number of pace horses within the race. These are massive “what ifs.”

A safer guess within the Travers is to aspect with the top-rung 3-year-old males within the discipline like #7 Dornoch, who gained each the Belmont Stakes and the NYRA Bets Haskell Stakes, #8 Fierceness, who gained the Curlin Florida Derby and Saratoga’s Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes Introduced by Mohegan Solar, and #2 Sierra Leone, who gained the Grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes and simply missed by a nostril when second within the Kentucky Derby Introduced by Woodford Reserve. With these three to select from as horses that may defeat Thorpedo Anna, one of the best choices will likely be Dornoch, who has blossomed into this 12 months’s prime 3-year-old, and Sierra Leone, who’s the nearer of the group who could have an opportunity to learn probably the most from the 1 ¼-mile distance with all of the added tempo Thorpedo Anna brings to the desk. On this situation, the horse to beat will likely be Sierra Leone, who will likely be flying within the stretch and at last capable of get one of the best of a recreation Dornoch in a decent end.

The Play:  Wager #2 Sierra Leone (7-2) to win and play her in exacta and trifecta bins together with #1 Thorpedo Anna (3-1), and #7 Dornoch (5-2).



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